Analysis of response and factors affecting Indonesian rice demand
Keywords:
Rice, Demand, Response Analysis, Elasticity
Abstract
This study aims to 1) analyze the factors that influence the demand for Indonesian rice, and 2) analyzing the response to rice demand from the factors that influence it. The data in this study use time series data for the period 1988-2017. Data analysis using linear regression analysis method. The results showed that Indonesian rice demand was influenced by retail rice prices, per capita income, population, rice production and Indonesian rice demand lag at α level of 5 percent with an R-Squared value of 91.3 percent. Based on the analysis of responses, the population number variable is the only independent variable that has elastic elasticity (E> 1) both in the short and long term analysis. Variable retail rice prices, per capita income and rice production, have elasticity values that are inelastic (E <1) in both the short and long term analysis.
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Asa, A. (2018). Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Konsumsi Beras di Desa Babotin Maemina Kecamatan Botin Leobele Kabupaten Malaka. Jurnal Agribisnis Lahan Kering, 3(2502), 55–57. https://doi.org/10.32938/ag.v3i4.324.
Badan Pusat Statistik. 2016. Basisdata Terpadu. tersedia di halaman https://www.bps.go.id/site/pilihdata.html.
Departemen Pertanian. 2004. Analisis Permintaan dan Produksi Beras di Indonesia 2001- 2004, Proyek Pengembangan Ketersediaan Pangan. Eales.
Gujarati N. Damodar. 2003. Basic Econometric, Fourt Edition. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Hutauruk J. 1996. Analisis Kebijakan Harga Dasar Padi dan Subsidi Pupuk terhadap Permintaan dan Penawaran Beras di Indonesia [Tesis]. Bogor (ID): Institut Pertanian Bogor.
Kementerian Pertanian. 2018. Basis Data Statistik Pertanian. tersedia di http://aplikasi.pertanian.go.id/bdsp/index.asp.
Mulyana A. 1998. Keragaan Penawaran dan Permintaan Beras Indonesia dan Prospek Swasembada Menuju Era Perdagangan Bebas Suatu Analisis Simulasi [Disertasi]. Bogor (ID): Institut Pertanian Bogor.
Nuryanti S. 2005. Analisa Keseimbangan Sistem Penawaran dan Permintaan Beras di Indonesia. Jurnal Agro Ekonomi. 23 (1): 71-81.
Rahmasuciana, Dioni Yurinda,. dkk. (2015).”Pengaruh Pengadaan Beras dan Operasi Pasar terhadap Harga Beras dalam Negeri”. Jurnal Agro Ekonomi Vol. 26, No. 2.
Ritonga E. 2004. Analisis Keefektifan Kebijakan Harga Dasar Beras [Tesis]. Bogor (ID): Institut Pertanian Bogor.
Rosegrant, M.W, F. Kasryno and N.D. Perez. 1998. Output Response to Prices and Public Investment in Agriculture: Indonesian Food Crops. Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier Holland. 55.
Rusli, Said. 1989. Pengantar Ilmu Kependudukan. Jakarta: LP3ES.
Sari, Nina Tama. 2007. Analisis Dampak Kenaikan Harga Beras Terhadap Pola Konsumsi Beras Rumahtangga di Cipinang, Jakarta Timur. [Skripsi]. Bogor (ID): Institut Pertanian Bogor.
Septiadi, D., Harianto, H., & Suharno, S. (2016). Dampak Kebijakan Harga Beras dan Luas Areal Irigasi Terhadap Pengentasan Kemiskinan di Indonesia. Jurnal Agribisnis Indonesia, 4(2), 91. https://doi.org/10.29244/jai.2016.4.2.91-106.
Sunaryati, R., Studi, P., Fakultas, A., Universitas, P., Raya, P., Douglas, C., & Douglas, C. (2016). ( Analysis of Demand for Rice in the Province of Central Kalimantan ) Pangan adalah kebutuhan mendasar yang secara fisiologi , psikologis , sosial , maupun manusia untuk mempertahankan tumbuh , paling tidak mengikuti pertumbuhan untuk memenuhi permintaan. 3(2), 99–107. https://doi.org/10.33084/daun.v3i2.151
Published
2019-07-31
How to Cite
Septiadi, D., & Joka, U. (2019). Analysis of response and factors affecting Indonesian rice demand. AGRIMOR, 4(3), 42-44. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.32938/ag.v4i3.843
Section
Original research article
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